In the last blog I was speaking about Peak Oil risks, and our ability to prepare for it by finding resilience in growing your own food (and becoming a rebelfarmer!). Today I was pointed to a blogger that calculated the peak oil not as usually by the point of maximum production, but by the point of maximum affordability. His question was: how much barrels of oil can you buy with S&P500, an index of the 500 important industrial stocks? This graph shows that since the 50’s we have experienced two peaks of affordability: before the oil crisis of the 70’s and one, the highest, in 1999. Since 1999 we can buy less and less oil for the same amount of stocks. The blogger argues that it is highly improbable that we will ever reach a higher affordability than in 1999. This would mean that 1999 was our “true” peak oil, as the oil price, corrected for inflation with this methodology, will only continue to go up from this moment on. 1 Comment Time to become RebelFarmer? Peak oil risks and the difficulty of finding resilience in agriculture 06/01/2009
There is a growing group of energy experts who believe that we are very near to a maximum global production of crude oil, the so-called Peak Oil. Until now, oil production grew steadily because of growing oil demand and cheap supply. Peak Oil defines the moment that, supply is no longer capable to meet growing demand. If there are no alternatives for oil, and if demand for energy still continues to grow, prices for oil will explode. Some experts believe that we already passed this point (at a peak production of 88 Mb, all liquids, per day), and that only the current global economic crisis causes oil demand to stagnate, allowing the oil peak instead to transform into a plateau for a few years more. The estimations for production decline after the peak or plateau are between 2 to 6 % per year. There is a consensus among the expert community that within the coming 10 years, alternative energy sources can in no way provide the gap of energy demand that is left by such decline. So if the decline would start within ten years, there will be an enormous scarcity of oil and energy. A revolutionary method of carbon sequestration, relatively cheap and with huge environmental and agricultural benefits, has been discovered already more then 20 years ago. Wood chips from tree branches as soil amendment and as permanent soil cover. It can sequester almost 10 tons of CO2 per ha per year (1). And it is applicable to millions of hectares of cropland mostly in the subtropical and moderate climate regions. But nobody seems to bother. Why?
Changing hectare payments to farmers completely in support for soil fertility and biodiversity 11/13/2008
Yesterday I went to see the movie “There is a problem with cow nr. 80” (1). A French movie, by Dirk Barrez, about the insanity of the liberalization of agricultural markets causing millions of small farmers around the world to stop their livelihood because they cannot face the foreign competition. In short: big farmers are taking over, Monsanto and Round Up are coming in, destroying soil and human health, and finally people move to cities hoping on a better chance there. The film was shown as part of the AlimenTERRA festival in order to debate this issue with a larger public. Conclusion of the debate: each country should have the right to protect their farmers. Unfortunately I was too tired of listening to the movie that I couldn’t speak properly French anymore. So I put something on this blog instead. The secrets of compost 11/05/2008
Today I called Stoyan, the chef cook of the Kovatsj Farm Restaurant, situated in the Strandzha Nature Park, Bulgaria, to ask about some "Scheisse". He has about 200 buffaloes on his farm. The first thing he did when I visited him earlier this year to ask if he could roast a lamb for the tourists of our Shepherd Tour, he let us taste his fresh buffalo milk cheese to proof his culinary qualities. Now I asked his cooperation in a composting project and inquired about the availability of the buffalo dung. Tourism has a large role to play when it comes to nature protection. Besides the very important role of education and information supply, the tourism sector can stimulate local farmers to produce in a nature friendly way or implement nature management on their own land. French consumers want their Normandian Camembert being made from Raw Milk: 1-0 for Slow Food 09/29/2008
The biggest producer of Camembert, The Lactalis group, is forced by the French consumers, to return to the original quality definition of the Normandian Camembert, the last camembert that just until March this year, was supposed to be made of raw milk. Lactalis is the number two milk processing company in the world, with over 30.000 employees (1). Bee decline drives concern for food supply 09/26/2008
What is so serious is not only that the bees themselves are dying off without a smoking gun present, but that most people have no idea of the role they play in the food supply at large."If the bee disappeared off the surface of the globe then man would only have four years of life left. No more bees, no more pollination, no more plants, no more animals, no more man." - Albert Einstein. No patents on life! 09/26/2008
Multinational agricultural “engineering” companies, like Monsanto, want to safeguard their investment in the development of new varieties of animals and crops, by patenting their “invention”. |